Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 111

Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim Prediction and Odds for UFC Vegas 111

The lightweight bout at UFC Vegas 111 features Ismael Bonfim (20-5) facing Chris Padilla (16-6), three fights before Bonfim's younger brother headlines the event.

Fighters’ Recent Form and Background

Bonfim, 29, comes in with a 1-2 record in his last three fights, most recently suffering a first-round TKO loss to Nazim Sadykhov in February. This defeat stopped his momentum after defeating Vinc Pichel in 2024 and was the first knockout loss of his career.

Padilla, 30, remains undefeated in the UFC with a 3-0 record. After a decade competing on the West Coast regional circuit, he made his UFC debut at Vegas 91 on short notice with a submission win over James Llontop. He followed that with a knockout victory against Rongzhu and a decision win over Jai Herbert.

Betting Odds and Expectations

Here are the UFC Vegas 111 odds from DraftKings. Padilla continues to defy expectations, having won all three UFC fights as an underdog. He enters this bout in a similar underdog position against Bonfim.

"Nobody expected Padilla to be this successful when he stepped up on short notice, yet here he is."

Though Padilla may not be the toughest opponent Bonfim has faced, he will challenge Bonfim’s resolve from the start.

Key Points

Author’s summary: This UFC bout highlights a rising fighter, Padilla, challenging Bonfim’s resilience after recent setbacks, promising a compelling contest at UFC Vegas 111.

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ClutchPoints ClutchPoints — 2025-11-07